Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1982 |
SVM
1 - 4
ERF
28%
27%
46%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
ERF
1 - 0
CZJ
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
ERF
1 - 4
FVF
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
ROS
1 - 1
ERF
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
ERF
2 - 2
CHE
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1982 |
ZWI
2 - 2
FVF
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
ROS
4 - 2
ZWI
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
ZWI
0 - 3
CHE
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
LOK
3 - 0
ZWI
75%
16%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
ZWI
0 - 0
HAL
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |