Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
FCU
0 - 0
ERF
44%
28%
29%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
ERF
2 - 1
BWA
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
CHE
1 - 1
ERF
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1978 |
ERF
1 - 0
FVF
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
ERF
2 - 0
FCU
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
ZWI
1 - 0
ROS
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
BSG
4 - 0
ZWI
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
BFC
5 - 1
ZWI
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
ZWI
2 - 0
BCB
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
MAG
6 - 0
ZWI
76%
16%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |