Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
ERF
0 - 3
CZJ
25%
28%
48%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1973 |
FVF
1 - 2
ERF
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1973 |
ERF
1 - 0
CHL
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1973 |
BFC
3 - 2
ERF
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1973 |
ERF
4 - 2
SGD
24%
29%
48%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
ZWI
2 - 0
ROS
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1973 |
CHL
4 - 1
ZWI
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1973 |
ZWI
2 - 0
BFC
45%
28%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1973 |
SGD
4 - 2
ZWI
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1973 |
ZWI
1 - 1
MAG
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |