Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
MAG
3 - 2
ERF
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
ERF
1 - 1
SAC
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
ERF
2 - 1
VOW
24%
24%
53%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ABS
1 - 2
ERF
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
LOK
5 - 3
ERF
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
ZWI
0 - 1
SED
66%
19%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
LOK
1 - 2
ZWI
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
BFC
1 - 1
ZWI
70%
17%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ZWI
4 - 0
LAS
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1961 |
ZWI
0 - 4
HAL
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |