Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
SED
5 - 3
ERF
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1956 |
ERF
3 - 3
BWA
41%
25%
35%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
ABS
1 - 0
ERF
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
CHE
0 - 0
ERF
18%
21%
61%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
ERF
1 - 1
BAB
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
ZWI
5 - 2
CHE
89%
8%
3%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1956 |
ZWI
1 - 0
LOK
58%
20%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
ROS
3 - 6
ZWI
44%
22%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
ZWI
4 - 1
BFC
59%
19%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
SED
4 - 2
ZWI
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |