Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
HAN
2 - 1
ERF
7%
16%
77%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
ERF
1 - 0
SED
65%
19%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
BFM
0 - 6
ERF
37%
24%
39%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
ERF
5 - 0
CHE
89%
8%
3%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
BAB
0 - 0
ERF
51%
21%
28%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
ZWI
1 - 1
BFM
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
HAL
0 - 5
ZWI
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
ZWI
1 - 0
BAB
50%
23%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
SED
7 - 2
ZWI
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
BWA
5 - 2
ZWI
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |