Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
FCU
2 - 2
ERF
29%
22%
49%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
ERF
1 - 0
BEL
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
SED
3 - 2
ERF
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
HAL
1 - 0
ERF
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
ERF
1 - 0
FCU
70%
17%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
ZWI
1 - 0
SGD
52%
21%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
BWA
3 - 1
ZWI
56%
21%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
ZWI
3 - 0
HAL
49%
22%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
ZWI
2 - 2
BEL
59%
19%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
CZJ
3 - 2
ZWI
33%
24%
43%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |