Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Wismut Gera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
BSA
0 - 2
ERF
27%
23%
51%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
ERF
2 - 1
SED
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
ERF
0 - 3
CHL
60%
20%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
SED
1 - 1
ERF
47%
22%
31%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
ERF
2 - 0
BFM
66%
17%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
WIS
0 - 2
SED
37%
23%
40%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
BAB
3 - 2
WIS
76%
13%
11%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
ZWI
2 - 2
WIS
73%
15%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
WIS
0 - 2
BAB
45%
22%
32%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
SVL
3 - 3
WIS
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |