Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Wismut Gera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
HAL
3 - 5
ERF
58%
19%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
ERF
3 - 0
ANK
82%
11%
7%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
SAC
0 - 4
ERF
53%
20%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
ERF
2 - 5
ZWI
88%
8%
4%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
BSA
1 - 1
ERF
63%
18%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
WIS
4 - 0
LAS
31%
22%
47%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
SVD
5 - 2
WIS
73%
15%
12%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
WIS
0 - 0
BFM
33%
22%
45%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
ABS
2 - 2
WIS
81%
12%
8%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
WIS
5 - 1
FMS
75%
14%
11%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +2 |