Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs FC Vorwärts Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
52.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ABS
1 - 2
ERF
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
LOK
5 - 3
ERF
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
ERF
0 - 3
ROS
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1961 |
ERF
1 - 0
LOK
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1961 |
CZJ
0 - 0
ERF
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vorwärts Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
VOW
2 - 2
LOK
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1961 |
VOW
3 - 0
LIN
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
VOW
2 - 2
ROS
71%
17%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
BWA
2 - 3
VOW
47%
23%
30%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1961 |
BFC
1 - 3
VOW
50%
22%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |