Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
ERF
0 - 3
BAY
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
SAA
2 - 1
ERF
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ERF
5 - 0
SCH
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
ERF
2 - 2
FEU
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
WEH
1 - 6
ERF
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
VFR
0 - 0
WEH
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
MAI
1 - 3
VFR
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
VFR
5 - 2
STU
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
PFU
2 - 0
VFR
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
VFR
1 - 4
HOF
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -2 |