Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
ANS
1 - 0
ERF
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
ERF
2 - 2
WAC
38%
28%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
ERF
1 - 2
HER
11%
21%
67%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
WEH
1 - 0
ERF
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
ERF
0 - 0
DAR
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
VFR
2 - 1
SPO
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
VFR
1 - 1
SVS
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2001 |
SSV
2 - 3
VFR
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
OFC
5 - 2
VFR
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
FUL
0 - 3
VFR
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |