Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
VFR
2 - 1
ERF
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
ERF
0 - 1
SCH
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
OFC
0 - 1
ERF
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
ERF
3 - 2
STU
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
ERF
2 - 0
CZJ
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2000 |
ULM
0 - 1
ARB
43%
23%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2000 |
MSV
1 - 2
ULM
55%
23%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
EIN
2 - 1
ULM
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
ULM
2 - 0
WOL
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
KAI
6 - 2
ULM
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |