Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs SV 1899 Merseburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
CZJ
2 - 2
ERF
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
FVF
2 - 0
ERF
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
ERF
4 - 0
ROS
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
CHE
3 - 1
ERF
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
ERF
4 - 3
LOK
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SV 1899 Merseburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
SVM
1 - 2
FVF
20%
27%
54%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
ROS
5 - 1
SVM
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
SVM
1 - 1
CHE
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
LOK
3 - 0
SVM
88%
8%
4%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
SVM
0 - 3
HAL
20%
26%
54%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |