Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Jahn Regensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
WAC
1 - 1
ERF
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
ERF
1 - 0
DAR
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2000 |
ELV
1 - 1
ERF
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
ERF
0 - 0
KSC
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
186
4 - 2
ERF
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
SSV
2 - 3
EIN
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2000 |
PFU
4 - 2
SSV
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
WAC
2 - 1
SSV
37%
26%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
SSV
3 - 2
DAR
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2000 |
ELV
3 - 3
SSV
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |