Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
LOK
1 - 0
ERF
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1986 |
FCU
3 - 2
ERF
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
ERF
4 - 0
ROS
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
MAG
0 - 0
ERF
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1986 |
CZJ
1 - 0
ERF
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1986 |
SGD
2 - 2
LOK
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
SGD
0 - 1
BSV
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
BFC
5 - 2
SGD
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
CHE
3 - 1
SGD
28%
24%
47%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1986 |
KFC
7 - 3
SGD
40%
26%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |