Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs SC Einheit Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
BSS
3 - 1
ERF
38%
23%
39%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
ERF
0 - 1
BWA
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
ERF
2 - 1
ANK
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1952 |
BSS
5 - 0
ERF
41%
23%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1952 |
SGD
1 - 0
ERF
54%
21%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SC Einheit Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
SED
0 - 1
FCU
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
BEL
2 - 2
SED
52%
21%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
SED
0 - 2
SGD
55%
20%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1952 |
HAL
2 - 2
SED
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
SED
7 - 0
BSA
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |