Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Brieske-Senftenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
ERF
5 - 0
LAS
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
ZWI
3 - 2
ERF
57%
21%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1961 |
ERF
4 - 1
HAL
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1961 |
MAG
3 - 4
ERF
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
SED
3 - 2
ERF
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brieske-Senftenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1961 |
ABS
5 - 1
SED
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
LAS
1 - 1
ABS
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1961 |
ABS
0 - 2
SAC
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1961 |
ABS
1 - 1
HAL
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
BFC
1 - 0
ABS
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |