Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Sachsen Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
ERF
2 - 1
VOW
24%
24%
53%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ABS
1 - 2
ERF
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
LOK
5 - 3
ERF
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
ERF
0 - 3
ROS
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1961 |
ERF
1 - 0
LOK
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
SED
0 - 3
SAC
51%
22%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
SAC
4 - 3
BFC
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
ABS
1 - 1
SAC
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
SAC
2 - 2
ZWI
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1961 |
SAC
5 - 1
LAS
66%
19%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |