Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Sachsen Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
HAL
2 - 1
ERF
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
ERF
5 - 0
BFM
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
BWA
2 - 2
ERF
54%
22%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
ERF
3 - 2
VOW
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
BFC
2 - 0
ERF
31%
23%
46%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
SAC
4 - 3
ABS
54%
20%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
SAC
6 - 2
CHE
89%
8%
3%
|
81 | 36 | 45 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
ROS
2 - 0
SAC
42%
22%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
SAC
1 - 0
ZWI
64%
18%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BAB
1 - 1
SAC
67%
16%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |