Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Lokomotive Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
LOK
1 - 1
ERF
34%
23%
43%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
ERF
1 - 2
ZWI
66%
18%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
HAN
2 - 1
ERF
7%
16%
77%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
ERF
1 - 0
SED
65%
19%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
BFM
0 - 6
ERF
37%
24%
39%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
LOK
1 - 1
ERF
34%
23%
43%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
BWA
5 - 0
LOK
77%
13%
10%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
LOK
0 - 2
VOW
41%
23%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
LOK
1 - 1
SAC
39%
23%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
BFC
6 - 4
LOK
54%
20%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |