Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
66.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
ERF
1 - 0
CHE
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
PRE
2 - 2
ERF
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
ERF
2 - 0
HER
30%
24%
45%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
BAY
3 - 2
ERF
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
ERF
1 - 2
WUP
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
MON
4 - 1
KAI
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
KAI
3 - 3
BVB
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
KAI
0 - 3
HSV
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
STU
1 - 0
KAI
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
KAI
0 - 2
M05
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |