Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
HAL
4 - 1
ERF
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
ERF
1 - 0
GRO
32%
24%
44%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
CHE
2 - 1
ERF
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
ERF
2 - 1
MUN
45%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
GRO
0 - 1
ERF
81%
12%
7%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
HOM
1 - 2
DAR
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
HAL
0 - 1
HOM
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
HOM
1 - 3
CHE
48%
27%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
MUN
3 - 0
HOM
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 1991 |
HOM
0 - 0
CZJ
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |