Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Hertha Zehlendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
14º
10º
14
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 69 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 65 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 64 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 59 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 57 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 56 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 52 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 43 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 42 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 42 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 42 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 28 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 27 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 27 |
18º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ERF
5 - 1
CHL
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MEU
1 - 0
ERF
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
CZJ
5 - 1
ERF
67%
20%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ERF
4 - 2
ZWI
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
ERF
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hertha Zehlendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 0
HZE
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
HZE
0 - 2
GRE
42%
25%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
LUC
0 - 3
HZE
21%
22%
57%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 0
HZE
23%
19%
59%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 0
HZE
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |