Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Hertha BSC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
OPT
1 - 1
ERF
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
ERF
1 - 2
REI
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
SGD
3 - 0
ERF
63%
23%
15%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1995 |
ERF
0 - 1
WAC
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1995 |
COT
0 - 0
ERF
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
REI
2 - 2
HER
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
HER
2 - 2
WAC
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
HZE
0 - 1
HER
58%
22%
19%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1995 |
HER
0 - 1
BIS
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 1995 |
FCU
3 - 1
HER
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |