Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Hansa Rostock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
BSG
1 - 0
ERF
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
ERF
2 - 1
LOK
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
ZWI
1 - 0
ERF
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
ERF
2 - 1
FCU
58%
23%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1979 |
BWA
3 - 1
ERF
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hansa Rostock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
CZJ
1 - 0
ROS
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
ROS
3 - 2
BSG
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
LOK
5 - 5
ROS
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
ROS
2 - 0
ZWI
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1979 |
FCU
0 - 1
ROS
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |