Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Hansa Rostock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
CHL
0 - 1
ERF
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
ERF
3 - 1
CHE
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
BSG
1 - 0
ERF
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1974 |
ERF
3 - 0
BWA
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1974 |
FVF
5 - 0
ERF
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hansa Rostock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
ROS
3 - 1
CZJ
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
ROS
0 - 1
CHL
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
CHE
4 - 2
ROS
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1974 |
ROS
0 - 0
BSG
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1974 |
BWA
2 - 0
ROS
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |