Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1998 |
HAN
1 - 0
ERF
15%
21%
64%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1998 |
BAB
1 - 1
ERF
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
ERF
0 - 0
REI
73%
17%
9%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
WAC
2 - 2
ERF
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
ERF
2 - 0
LAS
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
ERZ
2 - 1
SAC
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
FCU
4 - 2
ERZ
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
ERZ
1 - 1
MAG
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
BFC
3 - 0
ERZ
38%
28%
35%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
ERZ
1 - 1
SGD
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |