Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 1
ERF
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
ERF
1 - 0
WER
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
ERF
1 - 1
PRE
50%
27%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
HER
1 - 0
ERF
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
ERF
3 - 1
BAY
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
CZJ
0 - 0
WER
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
CZJ
1 - 0
OSN
57%
22%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
HAM
0 - 1
CZJ
19%
23%
57%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CZJ
1 - 0
STP
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
DIE
1 - 1
CZJ
20%
22%
58%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |