Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
47.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1973 |
FVF
1 - 2
ERF
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1973 |
ERF
1 - 0
CHL
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1973 |
BFC
3 - 2
ERF
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1973 |
ERF
4 - 2
SGD
24%
29%
48%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1973 |
MAG
2 - 0
ERF
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1973 |
CZJ
3 - 0
FCU
80%
14%
7%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1973 |
HAL
1 - 2
CZJ
29%
27%
43%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1973 |
CZJ
3 - 0
CHE
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1973 |
BWA
1 - 2
CZJ
26%
28%
46%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1973 |
CZJ
3 - 1
ZWI
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |