Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
ERF
2 - 3
VOW
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
BFW
0 - 0
ERF
43%
23%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1956 |
ERF
2 - 0
BFC
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ERF
1 - 1
ZWI
49%
23%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
SED
5 - 3
ERF
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1953 |
2 - 1
CZJ
75%
15%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1953 |
ZWI
6 - 0
CZJ
76%
14%
10%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
CZJ
0 - 2
ABS
25%
21%
54%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
BSS
2 - 1
CZJ
72%
16%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
CZJ
4 - 0
SVL
45%
22%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |