Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Energie Cottbus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
BFC
3 - 0
ERF
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1973 |
ERF
0 - 3
ZWI
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
ERF
0 - 3
CZJ
25%
28%
48%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1973 |
FVF
1 - 2
ERF
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1973 |
ERF
1 - 0
CHL
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Energie Cottbus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
COT
0 - 0
ROS
30%
27%
44%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1973 |
CHL
3 - 3
COT
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
COT
1 - 1
CHE
35%
28%
38%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |