Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Dresdner SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.4%
10%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
BAB
2 - 1
ERF
37%
22%
41%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
ERF
1 - 1
WIS
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
HAL
3 - 5
ERF
58%
19%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
ERF
3 - 0
ANK
82%
11%
7%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
SAC
0 - 4
ERF
53%
20%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Dresdner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
DRE
6 - 1
LAS
12%
17%
71%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
ABS
4 - 0
DRE
89%
7%
4%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
DRE
3 - 0
SAC
49%
22%
30%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +4 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
ZWI
1 - 0
DRE
37%
21%
42%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
DRE
4 - 0
BSA
38%
23%
39%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +3 |