Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
HAL
1 - 0
ERF
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1987 |
ERF
2 - 1
SGD
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
ROS
3 - 2
ERF
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1987 |
BIS
3 - 4
ERF
23%
27%
49%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1987 |
ERF
0 - 0
CZJ
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
CHE
6 - 1
BSG
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
CZJ
3 - 0
CHE
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
CHE
2 - 0
BSV
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1987 |
BFC
2 - 0
CHE
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1987 |
CHE
1 - 4
MAG
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |