Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1968 |
BFC
1 - 0
ERF
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1968 |
BSG
1 - 0
ERF
34%
23%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1968 |
ERF
1 - 0
ZWI
46%
26%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
ROS
1 - 1
ERF
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
ERF
3 - 0
LOK
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1968 |
CHE
3 - 1
BSG
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1968 |
ZWI
0 - 1
CHE
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1968 |
CHE
3 - 4
ROS
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
LOK
1 - 2
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
CHE
2 - 2
VOW
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |