Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1967 |
LOK
3 - 0
ERF
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1967 |
ERF
1 - 2
ZWI
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1967 |
ROS
1 - 0
ERF
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1967 |
ERF
2 - 1
CZJ
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
ERF
0 - 2
CHL
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1967 |
CHE
2 - 0
LAS
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1967 |
CHE
1 - 1
VOW
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1967 |
LOK
2 - 2
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1967 |
CHE
5 - 2
ZWI
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1967 |
CHL
2 - 1
CHE
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |