Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1963 |
ROS
0 - 0
ERF
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
ERF
1 - 2
MAG
52%
21%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
VOW
2 - 1
ERF
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ERF
2 - 1
ZWI
47%
24%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
SAC
0 - 0
ERF
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1963 |
CHE
0 - 2
VOW
28%
24%
49%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
SGD
1 - 1
CHE
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
CHE
4 - 0
HAL
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ROS
3 - 0
CHE
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
CHE
2 - 5
LOK
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |