Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
CZJ
2 - 1
ERF
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
ERF
0 - 0
SGD
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
ERF
1 - 1
BFC
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
HAL
0 - 2
ERF
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
ERF
4 - 1
ROS
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
CHE
2 - 2
BWA
30%
24%
47%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
SAC
1 - 1
CHE
75%
15%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
VOW
1 - 1
CHE
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
CHE
1 - 1
ZWI
31%
24%
45%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
CHE
2 - 1
BFC
31%
25%
45%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |