Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1956 |
BAB
3 - 2
ERF
53%
22%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
ROS
1 - 1
ERF
44%
23%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
ERF
0 - 0
SAC
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
ERF
5 - 0
LAS
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
LOK
0 - 1
ERF
35%
24%
41%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1956 |
CHE
0 - 2
BWA
12%
18%
71%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
LAS
4 - 1
CHE
83%
12%
6%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
CHE
1 - 1
ABS
17%
19%
64%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
VOW
4 - 0
CHE
92%
6%
2%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
CHE
0 - 0
ROS
20%
21%
59%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | +1 |