Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
ERF
4 - 1
BAB
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1955 |
LAS
1 - 0
ERF
32%
23%
45%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1955 |
ERF
1 - 0
LOK
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
LOK
1 - 1
ERF
34%
23%
43%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
ERF
1 - 2
ZWI
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
BWA
1 - 1
CHE
93%
5%
2%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1955 |
CHE
5 - 1
VOW
15%
19%
66%
|
47 | 79 | 32 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 1955 |
ROS
6 - 0
CHE
84%
11%
5%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
CHE
1 - 1
SAC
15%
19%
67%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
SED
1 - 0
CHE
94%
5%
2%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | -1 |