Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.7%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.8%
3.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
BAB
0 - 0
ERF
51%
21%
28%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
ERF
5 - 2
BFC
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
SAC
1 - 1
ERF
47%
22%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
VOW
2 - 5
ERF
51%
21%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
ERF
3 - 0
HAL
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
CHE
0 - 0
VOW
13%
18%
69%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
CHE
2 - 0
HAN
63%
18%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
BFC
0 - 3
CHE
86%
10%
5%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
HAL
1 - 1
CHE
88%
9%
3%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
CHE
2 - 1
BFM
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 76 | 37 | +2 |