Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemie Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
LAS
1 - 0
ERF
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ERF
0 - 0
BWA
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
BFC
0 - 1
ERF
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ERF
4 - 4
VOW
28%
25%
48%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
SST
0 - 0
ERF
55%
20%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chemie Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
CHL
2 - 1
VOW
45%
23%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ZWI
1 - 2
CHL
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
CHL
1 - 1
CHE
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
BFC
1 - 1
CHL
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
CHL
3 - 3
ROS
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |