Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemie Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1951 |
ERF
2 - 0
ZWI
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
HAL
1 - 1
ERF
48%
21%
31%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
FCU
0 - 2
ERF
28%
22%
50%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
ERF
1 - 2
CHL
64%
18%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
ABS
1 - 3
ERF
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chemie Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1951 |
BAB
3 - 2
CHL
54%
20%
26%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
CHL
5 - 1
ABS
41%
21%
38%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
LAS
0 - 1
CHL
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
CHL
0 - 1
BSA
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
ERF
1 - 2
CHL
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |