Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
SGD
2 - 1
ERF
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
ERF
1 - 0
LOK
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
BWA
0 - 0
ERF
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
ERF
5 - 2
ZWI
68%
19%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
SVM
1 - 4
ERF
28%
27%
46%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
FVF
4 - 1
BWA
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
BWA
0 - 0
SGD
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
BWA
0 - 0
ERF
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
FVF
3 - 0
BWA
76%
15%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
BWA
1 - 1
ROS
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |