Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
ZWI
3 - 3
ERF
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
ERF
1 - 1
SVM
78%
15%
8%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
CZJ
2 - 2
ERF
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
FVF
2 - 0
ERF
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
ERF
4 - 0
ROS
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
BWA
2 - 1
FVF
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
ROS
2 - 2
BWA
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
BWA
3 - 2
CHE
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1981 |
LOK
2 - 2
BWA
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
BWA
4 - 1
HAL
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |