Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
ZWI
2 - 1
ERF
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1972 |
ERF
5 - 3
FVF
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
CHL
2 - 1
ERF
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1972 |
ERF
1 - 2
BFC
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1972 |
SGD
7 - 2
ERF
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
BWA
1 - 1
CHL
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1972 |
BWA
1 - 0
BFC
42%
28%
31%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
SGD
4 - 0
BWA
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1972 |
BWA
2 - 1
MAG
35%
26%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1972 |
CZJ
1 - 0
BWA
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |