Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
ERF
2 - 0
VOW
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1967 |
LAS
4 - 2
ERF
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1967 |
ERF
2 - 1
CHE
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1967 |
LOK
3 - 0
ERF
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1967 |
ERF
1 - 2
ZWI
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
BWA
3 - 1
LAS
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1967 |
CHE
5 - 0
BWA
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1967 |
BWA
1 - 0
LOK
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1967 |
ZWI
0 - 1
BWA
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1967 |
BWA
1 - 2
ROS
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |