Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
ABS
2 - 0
ERF
45%
23%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
ERF
0 - 0
CHE
88%
9%
4%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
ERF
4 - 1
BAB
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1955 |
LAS
1 - 0
ERF
32%
23%
45%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1955 |
ERF
1 - 0
LOK
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
BWA
6 - 2
SAC
65%
17%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
VOW
2 - 3
BWA
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
BWA
1 - 1
CHE
93%
5%
2%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1955 |
ZWI
1 - 3
BWA
51%
22%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1955 |
BWA
2 - 2
BFW
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |