Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Stahl Thale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
ERF
1 - 0
HAL
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
LAS
0 - 3
ERF
41%
24%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
ERF
3 - 2
BAB
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
BEL
1 - 4
ERF
44%
23%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
ERF
2 - 1
ABS
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Stahl Thale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
BSS
0 - 4
BAB
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
BEL
5 - 1
BSS
67%
18%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
BSS
0 - 0
ABS
37%
23%
40%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
SED
3 - 4
BSS
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
BSS
1 - 2
SAC
35%
24%
42%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |