Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Stahl Riesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
FCU
0 - 0
ERF
25%
28%
47%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1984 |
ERF
0 - 1
BFC
23%
23%
54%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
ERF
3 - 1
MAG
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
ROS
0 - 0
ERF
45%
25%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1983 |
CZJ
3 - 0
ERF
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
BSG Stahl Riesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
BSG
2 - 3
BFC
15%
21%
64%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
ROS
2 - 0
BSG
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
BSG
0 - 0
BWA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
LOK
3 - 0
BSG
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1983 |
HAL
3 - 5
BSG
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |